I moved Nevada into the Safe column today, on the basis of Obama being up by an average of 7 pts in the five polls from the last week.
Now, normally a state with only 5 EVs and claims to fame like "Burning Man" and "Britney Spears' other wedding" doesn't top the list of newsmakers, but here's the thing.
I'm not ready to include Nevada in the core of 286, but adding Nevada to it gives you 291 safe EVs. Which means that even if John McCain's hail mary for Pennsylvania's 21 EVs works, he would still only reduce Obama to 270 EVs.
Five days ago I stated that if I were a McCain supporter, the news that day would be what made me give up. Today, if I were on McCain's staff, this is the news that would make me give up.
PS - It's still 364-163 with ever-so-stubborn Indiana still as a coin-flip tossup, where's it's been all year. Please Indiana, just pick a side.
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If I had been a McCain staff member I would have given up when he told me that he didn't use the Internet.
ReplyDeleteEh, I dunno. Bill Clinton can't send an email if memory serves me correctly.
ReplyDeleteFair point, but there are many other reasons I would have likely quit Clinton's campaigns.
ReplyDelete