October 21, 2008

What the Hell is the McCain Campaign Doing?

I refer you to the chart I posted yesterday. Now, if you start at the bottom and go up, McCain has to get every state up to and including Colorado to win this election (never heard that before ...).

So here's his new strategy. He does have the wisdom and foresight to abandon New Mexico and, yes, Iowa. Believe it or not, Mr. "I'm gonna give you a little straight talk - I oppose ethanol subsidies" McCain isn't going to win Iowa.

I'm sorry. But really?! You guys really figured that out? You're down 12.3 pts as of yesterday, and out of 28 polls in the state, you've been losing in 27 and tied in 1. Why the hell has that campaign spent a single dollar since September in Iowa?

OK, so congratulations, they've finally seen the light. They're abandoning Iowa, New Mexico, and Colorado. Wait, what?! Yes folks, the McCain campaign is giving up on Colorado.

Now let's look at our chart. If McCain wins all the states up to but not including Colorado, he of course falls short, with 265 EVs. So he's got to pick them up somewhere right?

So, his strategy is (say it quickly in your head), while defending Virginia, Missouri, Nevada, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Indiana, North Dakota, West Virginia, Montana, and Georgia, to make a play for Pennsylvania.

I'm sorry for my tone this morning, but I can't for the life of me understand what the hell they're thinking! If I were a Republican I'd be writing things right here that would certainly get me fired from my job. This is much worse than watching Kerry lie down and take those Swift Boat attacks. I mean, I guess they're looking at electoral votes, but come on! If you're going after a state where you're down 9 points why not go all out? You're down 18 in California ... twice the deficit, but more than twice the electoral votes, right?

The bottom line is that in many ways I would have been a better strategist than these loons. McCain took months to try to frame Obama, and finally the best he did was Paris Hilton. He failed Electoral Politics 101 when, after correctly pandering to the right during the primary, he incorrectly continued to pander to the right during the general, the pinnacle of which was one of the most disastrous VP choices in electoral history. With Palin, he failed rule no. 1: Do No Harm. Obama resisted the temptation to choose Hillary because his guys understood rule number one. McCain proceeded to fail on the bailout and fail on the "suspension of his campaign." Finally, he failed in trying to connect Obama to his shady associations, by choosing the third best guy to attack him with (really - you choose Bill Ayers over Rev. Wright and Tony Rezko?). This campaign is over. And even now, as we sit at about 364-174 or so, I still can't help but wonder - why is this election so close?

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