The Day Has Come

Ladies and Gentlemen, I am pleased to announce that, as predicted, Barack Obama is now squarely ahead in national numbers. In the RCP Average, not only is Obama ahead, but he's ahead or tied in every component poll, save one. And that poll, which I linked to because I thought it was interesting, is only still McCain because it has week-old data; Obama led by 7% in their Sep. 17 polling.

Another thing I thought was interesting - 70% of the respondents were 45 or older, and 30% were 65 or older. Is this the turnout we should expect? Because I sure didn't think so, and if it's better (younger) than that, this election may be a landslide afterall (though you won't catch me using the "L" word again).

But here's the point: There may be a hiccup here or hiccup there, but I firmly believe that today is the day we take the lead and essentially don't look back, at least in the national polls. The electoral math and election turnout make predicting those much more difficult, but McCain will not have a substantive polling advantage between now and November 4th. (Unless of course there's something major, like Obama saying he doesn't want to lose to an ancient cripple who hates our country)